Renato Gianella is a Brazilian mathematician who claims that it is possible to predict the results of the lottery using complicated mathematics and probability theory. Sounds a bit mad right? Well, it is actually.
Wherever there are games of chance involving numbers there is always a mathematician who claims to have invented some ‘magical’ system that can beat it. In my experience their claims are pretty much always false, but hey, you never really know right!
Several years ago my father who was something of a mathematician himself (he used to bet on horses) started studying the National Lottery results. He claimed that if you grouped the numbers together, as opposed to just taking them individually, then certain patterns began to emerge that could help you predict with greater accuracy which numbers were more likely to come up. OK, I know what you are thinking, I thought the same. However, the more I looked at it my Dad’s theory the more it began to make sense.
Basically it worked like this. In those days the National Lottery only had 49 numbers. My father placed the 49 available numbers into four distinct groups 1-9 (the single digit numbers) 10-25; 26-40 and 41-49. My father claimed, after methodically writing down every winning combination from every lottery draw for a whole year that the 6 number combination needed to win most often fell into a pattern of 1-2-2-1. One number from the first group, two numbers from the second group, two numbers from the third group and one number from the last group. How mad is that?
Not that mad at all actually! When I checked his data this pattern did indeed occur far more frequently than any other pattern of numbers. Of course this pattern is much more of a statistical occurance than any kind of ‘system’. You would also still need to choose the correct numbers from each of the groups in order to win the lottery. Nevertheless, it did kinda keep his mind active in his older years.
Fast forward to 2014 (yes it’s not a new thing!) and and a mathematician from Brazil by the name of Renato Gianella writes a paper for the Biometric Brazilian Journal entitled….
THE GEOMETRY OF CHANCE: LOTTO NUMBERS FOLLOW A PREDICTED PATTERN
In this paper Renato Gianella states that he believes that it is possible to predict which lottery numbers are more likely to appear by using number patterns according to ‘The Law of Large Numbers’.
The law of large numbers is a principle of probability according to which the frequencies of events with the same likelihood of occurrence even out, given enough trials or instances. As the number of experiments increases, the actual ratio of outcomes will converge on the theoretical, or expected, ratio of outcomes.
Renato Gianella goes on to claim that all the world’s lotteries have a distinct pattern that can be worked out by assigning colours to groups of numbers (much the same as my father observed 20 years before). An example of the website created by Renato Gianella is shown below and is well worth checking out if you are fan of such lottery theories or a mathematics student.
Being Brazilian of course Renato Gianella based his equations on the Brazilian National Lottery. However, by simple extrapolation of the numbers we can expand his theory to include all the world’s lotteries.
Essentially what Renato Gianella did was assign colours to groups of numbers for clarity. In reality it is the grouping of the numbers that is important here.
Isn’t the theory of Renato Gianella just a lot of nonsense?
Well, yes and no. Mathematicians like to prove that numbers have meaning, and in most cases they do. Unlike Renato Gianella I am not a mathematician but I do know that even random sets of numbers will form a pattern over time. Of course where this theory falls down is that it is not a guide to predicting the exact numbers in any given lottery. It can however, be used as a guide when choosing what numbers you want to play. So, for example, if you have noticed that more often than not the numbers drawn in the lottery form a definite pattern then it would make sense to choose numbers that fit into that pattern.
Essentially what Renato Gianella came up with of course is a ‘system’ of sorts. Anybody who has read any of my other blog posts will know what I think about systems. That said it is an interesting mathematical puzzle which although unlikely in real terms to ensure your success in the lottery could certainly make the choosing of the numbers a far more entertaining and logical process.
If you are interested to learn more about the theories of Renato Gianella and would like to read the paper that he submitted to the Biometric Brazilian Journal then you can download it here. You might also want to visit his website at http://www.lotorainbow.com.br/en/default.asp. Alternatively you may wish to discuss the findings of Renato Gianella in more detail with other lottery officianado’s in the UK Lotto Club forums at: http://uklottoclub.co.uk/forums/.